Useful Theories Make Predictions
نویسنده
چکیده
Stephen and Van Orden (this issue) propose that there is a complex system approach to cognitive science, and collectively the authors of the papers presented in this issue believe that this approach provides the means to drive a revolution in the science of the mind. Unfortunately, however illuminating, this explanation is absent and hyperbole is all too extensive. In contrast, I argue (1) that dynamic systems theory is not new to cognitive science and does not provide a basis for a revolution, (2) it is not necessary to reject cognitive science in order to explain the constraints imposed by the body and the environment, (3) it is not necessary, as Silberstein and Chemero (this issue) appear to do, to reject cognitive science in order to explain consciousness, and (4) our understanding of pragmatics is not advanced by Gibbs and Van Orden's (this issue) "self-organized criticality".? Any debate about the future of cognitive science could usefully focus on predictive adequacy. Unfortunately, this is not the approach taken by the authors of this issue.
منابع مشابه
Towards a Logic of Feature-Based Semantic Science Theories
The aim of semantic science is to allow for the publications of ontologies, observation data, and hypotheses/theories. Hypotheses make predictions on data and on new cases. Those hypotheses that fit the available evidence are called theories. This paper considers how thoeries can be used for predictions in new cases. Theories are typically very narrow and not all of the inputs to a theory are o...
متن کاملEditorial: Errors in the Variables, Unobserved Heterogeneity, and Other Ways of Hiding Statistical Error
O research function is proposing new scientific theories; another is testing the falsifiable predictions of those theories. Eventually, sufficient observations reveal valid predictions. For the impatient, behold statistical methods, which attribute inconsistent predictions to either faulty data (e.g., measurement error) or faulty theories. Testing theories, however, differs from estimating unkn...
متن کاملTowards an abductive foundation of semantic science
The aim of semantic science is to have scientific data and scientific theories represented and published in machine understandable form. There is much work on developing scientific ontologies and representing scientific data in terms of these ontologies. The next step is to publish scientific theories that can make predictions on the published data and can be used for prediction on new cases. T...
متن کاملAIAI ’ 09 IJCAI ’ 09 International Workshop on Abductive and Inductive Knowledge Development
The aim of semantic science is to have scientific data and scientific theories represented and published in machine understandable form. There is much work on developing scientific ontologies and representing scientific data in terms of these ontologies. The next step is to publish scientific theories that can make predictions on the published data and can be used for prediction on new cases. T...
متن کاملSemantic Science: Ontologies, Data and Probabilistic Theories
This chapter overviews work on semantic science. The idea is that, using rich ontologies, both observational data and theories that make (probabilistic) predictions on data are published for the purposes of improving or comparing the theories, and for making predictions in new cases. This paper concentrates on issues and progress in having machine accessible scientific theories that can be used...
متن کاملChapter 14 Is there anything special about working memory ?
In a recent article entitled ‘What has functional neuroimaging told us about the mind (so far)?’ Coltheart ( 2006 ) concludes that the answer to this question is: ‘nothing’. The essential reason for this gloomy assessment about the value of functional neuroimaging for cognitive psychology boils down to this essential argument, namely, that since psychological theories do not make predictions ab...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
- Topics in cognitive science
دوره 4 1 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2012